MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 21:32:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 25
Oct 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
2 - 1
Varbergs

Okkels (31', 43' pen.)
Jakob Thomasen (77'), Baldursson (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Krasniqi (19')
Sverrisson (27'), Hoven (81')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halmstad 0-1 Elfsborg
Monday, September 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varbergs 0-1 Hammarby
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 79.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 7.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
79.24% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07) 13.27% (0.069000000000001 0.07) 7.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.66% (-0.363 -0.36)32.34% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.04% (-0.426 -0.43)53.96% (0.434 0.43)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)6.42% (0.0919 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.94% (-0.244 -0.24)24.06% (0.253 0.25)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)47.66% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (-0.198 -0.2)82.98% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 79.23%
    Varbergs BoIS 7.49%
    Draw 13.27%
ElfsborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 79.23%
1-1 @ 6.23% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.27%
1-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 2.27% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 7.49%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Varbergs

Elfsborg
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Oct 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Varbergs
0-3
Elfsborg
Okkels (52'), Baidoo (57'), Aga (90+3')
Jun 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Elfsborg
4-1
Varbergs
Bernhardsson (45+1'), Olsson (77'), Alm (82'), Larsson (90+6')
Bernhardsson (17'), Henriksson (32')
Simovic (32' pen.)
Mensah (90')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 27
Elfsborg
0-0
Varbergs
Larsson (59'), Boateng (63'), Zanden (84')
Simovic (31'), Ejupi (34'), Mensah (45'), Carlos de Brito (75'), Tranberg (90+5')
Apr 19, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 2
Varbergs
1-3
Elfsborg
Karlsson Adjei (68')
Simovic (35'), Le Roux (85')
Lamine Jarjue (7'), Ndione (34', 86')
Okumu (43'), Romer (45'), Ndione (64'), Holmen (70'), Ronning (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
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