MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 11:14:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 25
Oct 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
2 - 1
Varbergs

Okkels (31', 43' pen.)
Jakob Thomasen (77'), Baldursson (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Krasniqi (19')
Sverrisson (27'), Hoven (81')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halmstad 0-1 Elfsborg
Monday, September 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varbergs 0-1 Hammarby
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 79.24%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 7.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
79.24% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07) 13.27% (0.069000000000001 0.07) 7.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.66% (-0.363 -0.36)32.34% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.04% (-0.426 -0.43)53.96% (0.434 0.43)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)6.42% (0.0919 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.94% (-0.244 -0.24)24.06% (0.253 0.25)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)47.66% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (-0.198 -0.2)82.98% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 79.23%
    Varbergs BoIS 7.49%
    Draw 13.27%
ElfsborgDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 79.23%
1-1 @ 6.23% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.27%
1-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 2.27% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 7.49%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Varbergs

Elfsborg
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Oct 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Varbergs
0-3
Elfsborg
Okkels (52'), Baidoo (57'), Aga (90+3')
Jun 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Elfsborg
4-1
Varbergs
Bernhardsson (45+1'), Olsson (77'), Alm (82'), Larsson (90+6')
Bernhardsson (17'), Henriksson (32')
Simovic (32' pen.)
Mensah (90')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 27
Elfsborg
0-0
Varbergs
Larsson (59'), Boateng (63'), Zanden (84')
Simovic (31'), Ejupi (34'), Mensah (45'), Carlos de Brito (75'), Tranberg (90+5')
Apr 19, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 2
Varbergs
1-3
Elfsborg
Karlsson Adjei (68')
Simovic (35'), Le Roux (85')
Lamine Jarjue (7'), Ndione (34', 86')
Okumu (43'), Romer (45'), Ndione (64'), Holmen (70'), Ronning (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo21153353193448
2HammarbyHammarby21123637201739
3Djurgardens IFDjurgarden20122633221138
4Mjallby AIF2111373428636
5AIK FotbollAIK2111283435-135
6ElfsborgElfsborg21103842321033
7GAISGAIS2110382525033
8HackenHacken209564235732
9SiriusSirius219483531431
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna216873641-526
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2173112845-1724
12IFK GoteborgGoteborg2156102132-1121
13Halmstads BKHalmstad2170142339-1621
14Varnamo2155112232-1020
15Vasteras SKVasteras2153131829-1118
16KalmarKalmar2153132745-1818


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