Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halmstads BK win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halmstads BK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Halmstads BK in this match.