Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halmstads BK win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halmstads BK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.