Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hammarby in this match.
