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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra has a probability of 30.28% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
43.89% ( -0.91) | 25.83% ( 0.26) | 30.28% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 53.12% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% ( -0.77) | 50.85% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% ( -0.68) | 72.73% ( 0.68) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( -0.75) | 23.07% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( -1.12) | 56.91% ( 1.12) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( 0.07) | 30.94% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( 0.09) | 67.24% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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