Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
