Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.