Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Kalmar.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
55% ( 6.52) | 22.89% ( -1.37) | 22.1% ( -5.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( 1.22) | 44.65% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 1.17) | 67.01% ( -1.17) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 2.89) | 16.11% ( -2.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.47% ( 5.03) | 45.53% ( -5.03) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( -3.64) | 34.23% ( 3.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.07% ( -4.1) | 70.92% ( 4.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Malmo 55%
Kalmar 22.1%
Draw 22.89%
| Malmo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 1.18)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.74)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 1.16)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.56)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.71)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.27)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.32)Other @ 2.41% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.64) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.97) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.99)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.91)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.14% Total : 22.1% |
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
May 17, 2021 5.30pm
Malmo
3-1
Kalmar
Bergqvist (54')
Backman (89')
Backman (89')
Oct 4, 2020 4.30pm
Kalmar
0-4
Malmo
Gustafsson (68'), Nouri (77')
