MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:18:42| >> :60:980:980:
Malmo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
0 - 2
Union SG


Sejdiu (38'), Buya Turay (47'), Pena (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Teuma (10'), Thierry Lazare (42')
Vanzeir (13'), Puertas (62'), Van der Heyden (76'), Nilsson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hacken 2-1 Malmo
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Malmo 1-2 Union SG

Despite their contrasting records in this competition during 2022-23, Malmo have been far more competitive than you would assume. Nevertheless, with little to play for, we do not expect the Swedish outfit to go the extra mile to match Union SG, who are motivated to earn qualification with a game to spare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawUnion SG
23.47% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.29% (0.052 0.05) 53.23% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (-0.247 -0.25)44.91% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-0.239 -0.24)67.26% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.145 -0.14)33.13% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.158 -0.16)69.73% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)16.83% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17% (-0.19 -0.19)46.82% (0.185 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 23.47%
    Union SG 53.23%
    Draw 23.29%
MalmoDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.04 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.47%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.23%

How you voted: Malmo vs Union SG

Malmo
12.6%
Draw
10.1%
Union SG
77.4%
159
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Group D
Union SG
3-2
Malmo
Burgess (17'), Teuma (69'), Okoh Boniface (71')
Van der Heyden (88')
Ceesay (6'), Kiese Thelin (57')
rhs 2.0
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