MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 16:58:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 29
Oct 30, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Paskbergsvallen
Malmo

Varbergs
2 - 5
Malmo

Birkfeldt (54'), Simovic (73')
Birkfeldt (51'), Boman (60'), Junior (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toivonen (44', 52', 55'), Rieks (64'), Buya Turay (88')
Pena (16'), Zeidan (32'), Gall (77'), Beijmo (86'), Rieks (87'), Rakip (90+5')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mjallby AIF 4-1 Varbergs
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Union SG
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
20.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 22.56% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 56.82% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (-0.212 -0.21)45.01% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (-0.205 -0.2)67.36% (0.208 0.21)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)35.85% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)72.63% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.11 -0.11)15.62% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (-0.206 -0.21)44.62% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 20.62%
    Malmo 56.81%
    Draw 22.55%
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.62%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 9.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.81%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 2pm
Malmo
3-0
Varbergs
Inge Berget (45+6' pen.), Christiansen (64'), Birmancevic (87')
Birmancevic (70')

Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Varbergs
1-1
Malmo
Simovic (29')
Matthews (21'), Ejupi (32'), Stanisic (55'), Carlos de Brito (78'), Johansson (84')
Birmancevic (43')
Pena (53'), Nalic (90+3'), Abubakari (90+5')
May 9, 2021 4.30pm
Malmo
3-2
Varbergs
Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')
Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Varbergs
3-2
Malmo
Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
Nielsen (64'), Larsson (90+3')
Nielsen (78')
Jun 21, 2020 1.30pm
Malmo
2-2
Varbergs
Rieks (7'), Kiese Thelin (83')
Christiansen (35'), Nielsen (90+2')
Christiansen (37')
Johansson (9'), Norlin (75')
Fofana (60'), Birkfeldt (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!