Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.