Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.