Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Orebro win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
