Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Helsingborg had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Helsingborg win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.