Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Orebro win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.