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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Independiente

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Independiente

Nuss (21'), Vera (53')
Moyano (45+2'), Nuss (45+5'), Vera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benegas (44')
Rodriguez (39'), Laso (73'), Fernandez (90'), Barreto (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, June 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Independiente

 There is quality on both sides, though neither have managed to bury their chances consistently, so we anticipate this will be a close game between two teams who are looking to keep pace in the early stages of this Primera Division phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
45.39% (0.557 0.56) 27.81% (0.402 0.4) 26.79% (-0.961 -0.96)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-1.714 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (-1.871 -1.87)59.96% (1.87 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (-1.45 -1.45)80.21% (1.449 1.45)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.577 -0.58)26.39% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.774 -0.77)61.54% (0.772 0.77)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.832 -1.83)38.51% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.792 -1.79)75.25% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 45.38%
    Independiente 26.79%
    Draw 27.81%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.693 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente

Argentinos Juniors
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Independiente
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2021 12.15am
Independiente
0-0
Argentinos Jrs

Manuel Insaurralde (21'), Roa (76'), Romero (77')

Gomez (26'), Ovando (86'), Di Cesare (87')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Zone Five
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Coronel (86')
Menendez (24'), Velasco (71')
Bustos (61')
Oct 19, 2019 7.30pm
Independiente
0-1
Argentinos Jrs

Perez (7'), Bustos (9'), Palacios (25'), Figal (84')
Roa (45')
Gomez (86')
Sandoval (32'), Gomez (34'), Mac Allister (42'), Silva (55'), Batallini (70')
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Montero (81')
Gigliotti (17', 86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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