Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Boca Juniors3 - 1Racing
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Racing Club.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rosario 2-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-3 Tucuman
Monday, April 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, April 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
39.63% ( 0.36) | 27.88% ( 0.02) | 32.5% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.85% ( -0.16) | 58.14% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.2% ( -0.13) | 78.8% ( 0.12) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( 0.13) | 28.63% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.56% ( 0.16) | 64.44% ( -0.16) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% ( -0.35) | 33.13% ( 0.35) |