MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:04:56| >> :60:412:412:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Racing
3 - 2
Aucas

Romero (12'), Ignacio Nardoni (17'), Angel (86' og.)
Gomez (20'), Gago (21'), Ignacio Nardoni (25'), Hauche (63')
Moralez (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Castillo (48'), Canga (56')
David (70'), Gago (76'), Quinonez (81'), Perlaza (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Racing Club and Aucas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Racing
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aucas 2-1 Flamengo
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 10.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.21%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Aucas win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawAucas
71.01% (0.23399999999999 0.23) 18.93% (-0.127 -0.13) 10.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 40.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (0.247 0.25)50.12% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (0.218 0.22)72.08% (-0.212 -0.21)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (0.14400000000001 0.14)12.86% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.76% (0.28899999999999 0.29)39.24% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Aucas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.13% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)53.87% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.8% (-0.032 -0.03)87.2% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 71%
    Aucas 10.06%
    Draw 18.93%
Racing ClubDrawAucas
2-0 @ 14.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.96% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.11% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 71%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 18.93%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.06%

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