Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
San Lorenzo1 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 1-3 San Lorenzo
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Colon
Monday, April 10 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, April 10 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Boca Juniors |
36.51% ( 0.06) | 30.75% ( 0.04) | 32.74% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 40.1% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.55% ( -0.11) | 67.45% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.43% ( -0.07) | 85.57% ( 0.08) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% ( -0.02) | 35.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% ( -0.02) | 72.1% ( 0.02) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.02% ( -0.13) | 37.98% ( 0.14) |