Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Mar 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
San Lorenzo

Cavani (42'), Merentiel (84')
Lema (6'), Medina (39'), Rojo (62'), Merentiel (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bareiro (9' pen.)
Braida (11')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing
Monday, March 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, March 21 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	San Lorenzo
55.69% ( -0.19)	27.7% ( 0.06)	16.61% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 34.66% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.56% (

-0.02)

67.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.44% (

-0.01)

85.56% (

0.01)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

-0.1)

24.93% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

-0.13)

59.56% (

0.13)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.18% (

0.17)

53.82% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.83% (

0.1)

87.16% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 55.68%

San Lorenzo 16.61%

Draw 27.69%

Boca Juniors	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 18.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 55.68%	0-0 @ 13.41% 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.61%