Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 1Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, October 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, October 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Fluminense
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Copa Libertadores
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Boca Juniors |
35.45% ( -1.13) | 31.53% ( 0.66) | 33.01% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 38.25% ( -1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.38% ( -1.78) | 69.62% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.01% ( -1.16) | 86.99% ( 1.17) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -1.77) | 37.27% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% ( -1.79) | 74.06% ( 1.79) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( -0.67) | 39.02% ( 0.67) |