Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 0Sarmiento
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Sarmiento.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.26%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 19% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Sarmiento |
54.11% ( -0.07) | 28.61% ( 0.02) | 17.28% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 33.87% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.91% ( 0) | 69.09% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.35% | 86.65% ( -0) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% ( -0.03) | 26.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% ( -0.04) | 61.61% ( 0.04) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.05% ( 0.07) | 53.95% ( -0.07) |