Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Oct 6, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Instituto2 - 0San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Instituto
Saturday, September 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-1 Banfield
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.82%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
Result | ||
Instituto | Draw | San Lorenzo |
41.26% ( -0.27) | 31.99% ( 0.06) | 26.75% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 35.53% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.1% ( -0.08) | 71.9% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
11.57% ( -0.05) | 88.42% ( 0.05) |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% ( -0.21) | 34.78% ( 0.21) |