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Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio da Madeira
San Lorenzo

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Battaglia (65')
Otavio (48'), Franco (74'), Scarpa (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jesus Baez Sotelo (34'), Tripichio (37'), Campi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo (Atletico Mineiro advance 2-1 on aggregate)

Like the first leg, we anticipate another close encounter between these sides, but ultimately, we have more confidence in the overall quality of Mineiro than San Lorenzo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSan Lorenzo
59.83% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 24.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 15.56% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 39.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)59.75% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95% (0.029 0.03)80.04% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)19.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)50.58% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.94% (0.059999999999999 0.06)85.06% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 59.82%
    San Lorenzo 15.56%
    Draw 24.61%
Atletico MineiroDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.56%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs San Lorenzo

Atletico Mineiro
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
San Lorenzo
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
San Lorenzo
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Cuello (17')
Cuello (18'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (56')
Paulinho (58')
May 9, 2018 1.45am
First Stage
Atletico Mineiro
0-0
San Lorenzo
Maidana (19'), Andrade (55')
Gudino (13'), Mercier (35'), Reniero (43'), Botta (45'), Senesi (45'), Piris (62')
Apr 11, 2018 11.15pm
First Stage
San Lorenzo
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Gudino (39')
Piris (59')

Blanco (64'), Bremer (77')
rhs 2.0
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