Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
May 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
San Lorenzo2 - 0Instituto
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Instituto.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 San Lorenzo
Saturday, May 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Instituto 1-0 Colon
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Instituto |
49.99% ( -0.05) | 28.19% ( 0.04) | 21.82% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.1% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
