Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 13.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.