Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 8.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.73%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Independiente Rivadavia
74.1% ( -0.59)	17.32% ( 0.31)	8.57% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 39.32% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.16% (

-0.41)

47.83% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98% (

-0.38)

70.02% (

0.38)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.66% (

-0.27)

11.34% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.97% (

-0.59)

36.03% (

0.59)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.34% (

0.39)

55.65% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.73% (

0.23)

88.27% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

River Plate 74.09%

Independiente Rivadavia 8.57%

Draw 17.32%

River Plate	Draw	Independiente Rivadavia
2-0 @ 14.95% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.19% Total : 74.09%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.32%	0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.43% Total : 8.57%