Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Platense
Sunday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
38.15% ( -0.1) | 30.51% ( -0.01) | 31.35% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.44% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
