Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield2 - 0River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: River Plate 5-1 Barracas Central
Monday, August 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, August 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | River Plate |
31.2% ( -0.2) | 26.93% ( -0.38) | 41.87% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.11% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% ( 1.38) | 54.92% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( 1.13) | 76.21% ( -1.13) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% ( 0.57) | 32.38% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.11% ( 0.64) | 68.89% ( -0.64) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( 0.95) | 25.89% ( -0.95) |