Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
River Plate

Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

River Plate

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: River Plate 5-1 Barracas Central
Monday, August 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	River Plate
31.2% ( -0.2)	26.93% ( -0.38)	41.87% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 50.11% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08% (

1.38)

54.92% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

1.13)

76.21% (

-1.13)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

0.57)

32.38% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.64)

68.89% (

-0.64)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

0.95)

25.89% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

1.26)

60.88% (

-1.27)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 31.2%

River Plate 41.86%

Draw 26.93%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.2%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.86%