Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia2 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Independiente
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
32.23% ( -0.38) | 30.09% ( -0.09) | 37.69% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 41.66% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.45% ( 0.22) | 65.55% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.72% ( 0.15) | 84.27% ( -0.15) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.7% ( -0.16) | 37.3% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.91% ( -0.15) | 74.09% ( 0.15) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% ( 0.41) | 33.55% ( -0.42) |