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[monks data]
Attendance: 11,214
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Jan 15, 2020 at 8pm UK
 
PSG logo

1-4

Bakayoko (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mbappe (24', 91'), Neymar (45' pen.), Sarabia (72')

Preview: Monaco vs. Paris Saint-Germain - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews AS Monaco's meeting with Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on Sunday, including a prediction, team news and predicted lineups.

Monaco will hope to build on a recent run of decent form at home when they welcome Paris Saint-Germain to the Stade Louis II Stadium on Sunday.

Leonardo Jardim's side have won three home games in a row in all competitions, but will nevertheless feel like rank underdogs against a PSG side currently eight points clear at the top of the table.


Match preview

Monaco coach Leonardo Jardim before the match against Lyon on August 9, 2019© Reuters

Following a dreamlike 2016-17 season, during which they won the Ligue 1 title and reached the Champions League semi-final, Monaco's ability to claim results has deteriorated in stunningly rapid fashion.

Indeed, after losing the spine of their team - players like Kylian Mbappe, Benjamin Mendy, Bernardo Silva - along with Jardim in the following year, Monaco demonstrated quite emphatically that such rapid change can have a deeply negative effect on the team.

The appointment of Thierry Henry last season, at a time when Monaco were struggling at the bottom, only served to worsen the club's position, to the extent that Jardim has since been recalled.

Now, though, there does not seem to be any consistency or groove to a team that has been a victim of its own evolutionary path following the glory of 2017, with Monaco sitting 14th in the table.

Just three years ago, this meeting with PSG was a blockbuster clash, but Monaco head into this game knowing that, before anything, they must avoid the prospect of a comfortable beating like the 4-0 defeat they suffered in the same fixture last season.

Paris Saint-Germain attacker Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring against Marseille on October 27, 2019© Reuters

If Monaco are a model of wild oscillation between extremes, PSG's performances in the league have been as utterly dominant as ever this season.

Despite a pair of shock home defeats, Thomas Tuchel's side find themselves with clear daylight between themselves and the rest of the division.

As they prepare to face Monaco, the biggest challenge for PSG for the remainder of the season revolves around maintaining a certain level of application and intensity until May.

The main problem for PSG every season is not winning the league but rather losing a competitive edge as they near an inevitable title, which serves to undermine performances when they enter the knockout phase of the Champions League.

Having already secured safe passage to the knockouts, which start in February, PSG will know that their success in Europe strongly depends on how they approach the league games in between - starting with a game against a classic rival in the south of France.

Recent Monaco form: WWWLWL
Recent Paris Saint-Germain form: WLWWWD


Team News

Paris Saint-Germain defender Layvin Kurzawa during a training session in November 2018© Reuters

Monaco will be without striker Stevan Jovetic due to a ligament injury that looks set to keep him sidelined for some time.

Diego Benaglio, Pietro Pellegri and Willem Geubbels are all also definitely out of Sunday's meeting with the Ligue 1 champions.

Islam Slimani is suspended for this fixture after picking up a red card during Monaco's 2-1 defeat to Bordeaux last weekend.

PSG will be boosted by the return of Neymar, who played against Real Madrid during the week, but are set to be without Ander Herrera, Layvin Kurzawa, Eric Choupo-Moting and Loic Mbe Soh, with no available timescale on when they may return.

Full-back Thilo Kehrer is the only player who could return to the fold having returned to training earlier this month.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Jemerson, Maripan, Poundje, Aguilar, Dias; Golovin, Fabregas, Bakayoko; Augustin, Ben Yedder

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Navas; Dagba, Diallo, Kimpembe, Bernat; Marquinhos, Gueye, Draxler; Di Maria, Mbappe, Neymar


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Monaco 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

The home side will certainly put up a good fight in front of their own supporters, but you suspect that the longer the game goes on, the more PSG's superior quality will shine through - especially with Neymar back in the starting XI.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.71%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%).


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Paris Saint-Germain forward Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring against Dijon on May 18, 2019
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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