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Asian Cup
India national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

India
0 - 3
Uzbekistan

FT(HT: 0-3)
Fayzullayev (4'), Sergeev (18'), Nasrullayev (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between India and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

India

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 2-0 India
Saturday, January 13 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Syria
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: India 0-2 Uzbekistan

 Judging from what we saw in their opening match, India do not appear too eager to go forward and seek anything more than a draw in this competition. We expect to see a lot more urgency from Uzbekistan in this one, and they have more than enough quality to eventually break down the India backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for India had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a India win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
IndiaDrawUzbekistan
23.13% (-0.348 -0.35) 25.8% (0.216 0.22) 51.08% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-0.976 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (-1.089 -1.09)55.33% (1.097 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.903 -0.9)76.54% (0.91000000000001 0.91)
India Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.939 -0.94)39.23% (0.947 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.892 -0.89)75.94% (0.899 0.9)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)21.71% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.596 -0.6)54.87% (0.603 0.6)
Score Analysis
    India 23.13%
    Uzbekistan 51.08%
    Draw 25.79%
IndiaDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.133 0.13)
2-1 @ 5.7% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.13%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.356 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 13% (0.39 0.39)
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.08%

How you voted: India vs Uzbekistan

India
46.7%
Draw
2.7%
Uzbekistan
50.7%
75
rhs 2.0
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