Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium

India
0 - 3
Uzbekistan

FT(HT: 0-3)

Fayzullayev (4'), Sergeev (18'), Nasrullayev (45+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between India and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

India

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Australia 2-0 India
Saturday, January 13 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	1	2	3
2	Uzbekistan	1	0	1
3	Syria	1	0	1
4	India	1	-2	0

Uzbekistan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Syria
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	1	2	3
2	Uzbekistan	1	0	1
3	Syria	1	0	1
4	India	1	-2	0

Judging from what we saw in their opening match, India do not appear too eager to go forward and seek anything more than a draw in this competition. We expect to see a lot more urgency from Uzbekistan in this one, and they have more than enough quality to eventually break down the India backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for India had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a India win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
India	Draw	Uzbekistan
23.13% ( -0.35)	25.8% ( 0.22)	51.08% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.68% (

-1.09)

55.33% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

-0.9)

76.54% (

0.91)

India Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

-0.94)

39.23% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

-0.89)

75.94% (

0.9)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

-0.39)

21.71% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

-0.6)

54.87% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

India 23.13%

Uzbekistan 51.08%

Draw 25.79%

India	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.13%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 13% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.08%