MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 08:19:11| >> :600:2368808:2368808:
Turkmenistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony
Uzbekistan national football team

Turkmenistan
1 - 3
Uzbekistan

Durdyyev (44')
Bashimov (66'), Tirkishov (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shukurov (57', 77'), Shomurodov (90+1')
Khamrobekov (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahrain 1-1 Turkmenistan
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: China 1-2 Uzbekistan
Monday, October 16 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies

We said: Turkmenistan 1-3 Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan have dominated this fixture to a large degree and are huge favourites to come away with maximum points from this one, and while we can see Turkmenistan putting up a good fight, we fully expect the visitors to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 83.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.06%) and 0-1 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Uzbekistan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uzbekistan.

Result
TurkmenistanDrawUzbekistan
4.23%11.79%83.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 33.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)40.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.14% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.28%92.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)7.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.17%
Score Analysis
    Turkmenistan 4.23%
    Uzbekistan 83.97%
    Draw 11.79%
TurkmenistanDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 2.04%
2-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1%
Total : 4.23%
1-1 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 4.64%
2-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 11.79%
0-2 @ 16.04%
0-3 @ 14.06%
0-1 @ 12.2%
0-4 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-5 @ 4.86%
1-4 @ 4.08%
1-5 @ 2.14%
0-6 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-6 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 83.97%

How you voted: Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Turkmenistan
42.9%
Draw
7.1%
Uzbekistan
50.0%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Washington
45-31
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!