MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:02:25| >> :60:761:761:
Uzbekistan national football team
Friendlies 3
Dec 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Uzbekistan
4 - 1
Kyrgyzstan

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-2 Iran
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-0 Oman
Tuesday, November 21 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawKyrgyzstan
61.45% (53.442 53.44) 21.78% (6.237 6.24) 16.78% (-59.673 -59.67)
Both teams to score 49.72% (7.086 7.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-5.599 -5.6)47.41% (5.605 5.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-5.412 -5.41)69.63% (5.419 5.42)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (38.15 38.15)14.92% (-38.143 -38.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7% (43.394 43.39)43.3% (-43.387 -43.39)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (-32.391 -32.39)41.57% (32.397 32.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (-46.97 -46.97)78.06% (46.977 46.98)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 61.44%
    Kyrgyzstan 16.78%
    Draw 21.77%
UzbekistanDrawKyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 11.79% (8.706 8.71)
2-0 @ 11.22% (10.243 10.24)
2-1 @ 9.85% (7.518 7.52)
3-0 @ 7.12% (6.912 6.91)
3-1 @ 6.25% (5.756 5.76)
4-0 @ 3.39% (3.353 3.35)
4-1 @ 2.97% (2.894 2.89)
3-2 @ 2.74% (2.154 2.15)
4-2 @ 1.31% (1.212 1.21)
5-0 @ 1.29% (1.284 1.28)
5-1 @ 1.13% (1.121 1.12)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 61.44%
1-1 @ 10.35% (2.982 2.98)
0-0 @ 6.2% (1.335 1.34)
2-2 @ 4.33% (1.536 1.54)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-6.176 -6.18)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-4.255 -4.26)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-11.491 -11.49)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-5.679 -5.68)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.955 -0.96)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 16.78%

How you voted: Kyrgyzstan vs Uzbekistan

Kyrgyzstan
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Uzbekistan
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Uzbekistan
3-1
Kyrgyzstan
Shomurodov (64'), Sergeev (84', 90')
Murzaev (6')
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
3-1
Kyrgyzstan
Sergeev (11'), Khamdanov (53'), Iskanderov (80')
Musabekov (30')
rhs 2.0
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