Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dynamo Brest had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Dynamo Brest win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.