Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Neman had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Neman win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
