Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
