Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
