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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
1 - 1
Pau

Maggiotti (90+13' pen.)
Maggiotti (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koudou (51')
Mohamed (5'), Kalulu Kyatengwa (29'), Ahoussou (49'), Koudou (54'), Ruiz (60'), Gaspar (80'), Boutaib (90+11')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amiens 1-0 Bastia
Friday, January 17 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Red Star 1-3 Pau
Friday, January 17 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Pau had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawPau
50.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 25.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.04% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.055 0.05)53.3% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.046999999999997 0.05)74.85% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03% (0.025000000000006 0.03)53.97% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (0.049999999999997 0.05)37.25% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.052 0.05)74.03% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 50.5%
    Pau 24.04%
    Draw 25.46%
BastiaDrawPau
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.04%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pau
1-1
Bastia
Ahoussou (24')
Ahoussou (45'), Mboup (48')
Rodrigues (53')
Guidi (29'), Tavares (51')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Pau
1-2
Bastia
Bassouamina (8')
Costa (3'), Ruiz (55'), Mouton (74')
D'Almeida (90+6')
Alfarela (70', 83')
Vincent (76'), Bianchini (90+3')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-4
Pau
Conte (62')
Roncaglia (48'), Maggiotti (85')
Santelli (39')
Saivet (27', 79'), Bassouamina (54'), Njoh (82')
Koudou (40'), Ruiz (80'), Njoh (85')
May 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Pau
2-6
Bastia
George (17'), Bassouamina (78' pen.)
Ruiz (74'), Sow (87')
Santelli (20'), Magri (23', 68', 85'), Guidi (56'), Palun (75')
Magri (39')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bastia
1-0
Pau
Santelli (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient27174649262355
2Metz27158447212653
3Paris FCParis FC27164742281452
4DunkerqueDunkerque2715394134748
5GuingampGuingamp271431044331145
6Laval27127836251143
7Annecy2711793337-440
8Bastia2781362927237
9Grenoble27107103231137
10PauPau2781093037-734
11Ajaccio27104132533-834
12Troyes27103142827133
13AmiensAmiens27103142841-1333
14Red Star2795132942-1332
15Rodez AFRodez AF2787124644231
16Clermont2768132235-1326
17Martigues2774162043-2325
18Caen2754182340-1719


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