Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
36% (![]() | 22.7% (![]() | 41.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.47% (![]() | 34.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.54% (![]() | 56.46% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.26% (![]() | 19.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.23% (![]() | 51.77% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% (![]() | 17.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% (![]() | 47.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.9% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 8.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |