Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.