MX23RW : Monday, February 3 06:28:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Jan 24, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC

Victory
2 - 0
Sydney FC

Vergos (24'), Fornaroli (90')
Miranda (29'), Fornaroli (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Klimala (23'), Ouahim (63')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Victory
Saturday, January 18 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
36% (0.154 0.15) 22.7% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.29% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 66.3% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.47% (0.012 0.01)34.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (0.078999999999994 0.08)19.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (0.13 0.13)51.77% (-0.133 -0.13)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)17.39% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-0.104 -0.1)47.81% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 36%
    Sydney FC 41.29%
    Draw 22.7%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 41.29%

How you voted: Victory vs Sydney FC

Melbourne Victory
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Sydney FC
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 10
Sydney FC
3-0
Victory
Lolley (2', 26'), Kucharski (86')
Segecic (68')

Geria (51'), Reec (67'), Fornaroli (70'), Hamill (79')
Machach (16')
Jan 26, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-1
Sydney FC
Machach (17')
Marchan (90+1'), Miranda (90+1')
Courtney-Perkins (10')
Brattan (69')
Wood (36')
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Victory
3-0
Sydney FC
Arzani (20'), Machach (24'), Fornaroli (57')
Traore (48'), Brimmer (56'), Folami (66'), Fornaroli (89')

King (44'), Grant (71')
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
0-2
Victory

Brattan (35'), Grant (78')
Fornaroli (62'), Machach (86')
Machach (48'), Marchan (76'), Ikonomidis (90+3')
Mar 4, 2023 8.45am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!