Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Gent had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.