Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.