Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Waasland-Beveren win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.