Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Waasland-Beveren win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.