Blackburn Rovers play host to Stoke City on Easter Monday fortunate to still be within two points adrift of the Championship playoff positions.
Meanwhile, despite winning three of their last five fixtures, Stoke still find themselves down in 15th position in the standings.
Match preview
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Although Blackburn looked well on course to be a factor in the automatic promotion race at the midway point, Tony Mowbray would have been wary of half the season still being remaining.
Nevertheless, he could not have anticipated the magnitude of the drop-off in form that his side have suffered, collecting just 18 points from as many games since the turn of the year.
Remarkably, just 10 goals have been scored during those games, the most recent coming from leading marksman Ben Brereton Diaz against Peterborough United on Friday, the Chile international netting for the first time since December.
However, despite that goal coming in the 77th minute, playing with 10 men since the 41st minute ultimately did for Rovers, who conceded two late goals to lose to the division's 23rd-placed side.
While Rovers have somehow managed to stay within two points of the playoff places, Mowbray will leave his players in no doubt that only a win will do against their next opponents.
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Stoke have enjoyed a resurgence of sorts in recent weeks, under-pressure manager Michael O'Neill seeing his side collect nine points from a possible 12, all against teams with plenty to play for.
However, the Potters' inconsistency was once again on show on Friday as they went down by a 1-0 scoreline to Bristol City, conceding the decisive goal six minutes from time.
Still down in 15th position, Stoke now only have pride to play for, and even an encouraging end to the campaign may not be enough to keep O'Neill in a job for 2022-23.
While Blackburn possess the best home record in the division, Stoke have the 13th-best return on their travels, winning just six of their 21 fixtures.
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Team News
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Blackburn will be forced into at least one change with Tayo Edun serving a one-match ban for his dismissal against Peterborough.
Joe Rothwell may come back into the side as his replacement, providing that he has recovered from illness, but Bradley Johnson and Bradley Dack are also on standby.
Harry Pickering and Tyrhys Dolan are options at left wing-back and in attack if Mowbray decides to further freshen his side up.
O'Neill is expected to make alterations to his Stoke XI with Romaine Sawyers and Josh Maja both in line to feature in midfield and attack.
Ben Wilmot is pushing for a recall in defence, but youngster William Forrester should feature for the third game in succession.
Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Lenihan, Van Hecke, Wharton; Nyambe, Travis, Rothwell, Pickering; Buckley; Dolan, Brereton Diaz
Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Forrester, Jagielka, Harwood-Bellis; Smith, Baker, Allen, Sawyers, Tymon; Maja, Brown
We say: Blackburn Rovers 2-2 Stoke City
Both teams are in a position where they may as well thrown caution to the wind in this contest, something which should make the game an entertaining spectacle. With this game being a difficult one to call, we can only back a high-scoring draw, one which will not suit either club.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
