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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Coventry City

Blackburn
2 - 2
Coventry

Rothwell (39'), Gallagher (45')
Buckley (28'), Paul van Hecke (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Walker (62'), Kaminski (68' og.)
Kane (79'), Hamer (90+3')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Coventry City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Surprise early promotion contenders Coventry City travel to Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on Saturday.

The Sky Blues are third in the table with just under a quarter of the season gone, while Rovers are in eighth, one point off the playoffs.


Match preview

Coventry City's Gustavo Hamer celebrates scoring their first goal against Peterborough in the Championship on September 24, 2021© Reuters

Coventry have shocked everyone with their early season form, winning seven of their first 11 games to sit just three points behind league leaders Bournemouth.

Spearheaded by Viktor Gyokeres, who has nine goals to his name already, the Sky Blues have earned several plaudits for their eye-catching football and impressive performances.

Mark Robins's side produced an emphatic second-half display to win 4-1 against Fulham before the international break, bouncing back from a 5-0 defeat to Luton Town three days earlier.

However, while Coventry still have a perfect home record this season, they have won only one of their five away games so far and are the lowest scorers on the road in the Championship.

Meanwhile, the Midlands outfit have not won any of their last three games against Blackburn, last beating Rovers in 2009.

Blackburn Rovers' manager Tony Mowbray on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Blackburn will have been pleased to see the international break come around after losing back-to-back games for the first time this season.

After going on a five-match unbeaten run, Tony Mowbray's side lost 3-2 to Huddersfield Town and 2-1 to Blackpool in the space of four days.

Mowbray described the loss at Bloomfield Road as a "harsh lesson" for his young side, as they came away with nothing despite a strong second-half performance.

Nonetheless, Rovers remain right in the mix for a playoff spot with a trip to sixth-place Queens Park Rangers to come on Tuesday.

Only Coventry and Bournemouth have scored more goals on home turf this season than Blackburn, who have lost only once at Ewood Park so far.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Coventry City Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Coventry City manager Mark Robins on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Ben Brereton Diaz will only return from international duty on Saturday morning so will not feature for Blackburn, leaving Rovers short on forward players as Tyrhys Dolan has had tonsillitis and Sam Gallagher has not trained all week due to a hamstring issue.

It could mean that youngsters Daniel Butterworth and Reda Khadra come in for their first league starts in a makeshift attack.

In defence, Harry Pickering is a doubt as he has also suffered from tonsillitis, while Daniel Ayala has missed a couple of days' training.

Coventry will be forced into a change at wing-back as Ian Maatsen is suspended, with Todd Kane expected to come in.

Matty Godden is also suspended after admitting to diving against Fulham a fortnight ago, which should mean that Tyler Walker starts for only the second time this season.

Martyn Waghorn is out of isolation after testing positive for coronavirus, but it is unknown whether any after effects or fitness issues will hamper his availability.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Nyambe, Lenihan, Ayala, Edun; Travis, Rothwell; Gallagher, Buckley, Khadra; Butterworth

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Moore; Hyam, McFadzean, Clarke-Salter; Dabo, Sheaf, Kelly, Kane; O'Hare; Walker, Gyokeres


SM words green background

We say: Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Coventry City

Blackburn's squad issues, particularly in attack, will make this a difficult test for Mowbray's side. The only thing in the hosts' favour is Coventry's poor away record, but we still think that the high-flying Sky Blues will emerge victorious.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Blackburn vs Coventry

Blackburn Rovers
28.0%
Draw
25.3%
Coventry City
46.7%
75
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Coventry City manager Mark Robins on September 11, 2021
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13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
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