Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
44.12% ( -4.81) | 22.75% ( 0.65) | 33.13% ( 4.15) |
Both teams to score 65.27% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.46% ( -1.03) | 35.54% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.41% ( -1.15) | 57.58% ( 1.14) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% ( -2.13) | 16.68% ( 2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.45% ( -3.94) | 46.55% ( 3.94) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% ( 1.9) | 21.67% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% ( 2.82) | 54.81% ( -2.83) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.62) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.63) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.42) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.66) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.55% Total : 33.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |