EFL Trophy | Third Round
Feb 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 4Wrexham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 2-1 Wrexham
Port Vale will come into Tuesday's match confident of beating Wrexham given the visitors are in poor form and have struggled on the road. Additionally, the hosts have been strong of late themselves, and it would not be surprising if they edged a close affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Wrexham |
42.52% ( -0.16) | 27.41% ( 0.12) | 30.06% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.43) | 57.11% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( -0.34) | 77.99% ( 0.34) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.28) | 26.55% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.23% ( -0.37) | 61.77% ( 0.37) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( -0.2) | 34.35% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.94% ( -0.21) | 71.06% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 42.52%
Wrexham 30.06%
Draw 27.41%
| Port Vale | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.06% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Wrexham
Port Vale
34.1%Draw
14.6%Wrexham
51.2%82
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-1
Wrexham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Port Vale win 3-1 on penalties)
Richards (82')
Cleworth (51')
Apr 26, 2005 3pm
Port Vale
0-2
Wrexham
Birchall (76'), Walsh (83')
Holt (21'), Llewellyn (42')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Crowell (10'), Llewellyn (41')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Port Vale
Brooker (64')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')
James (51'), Hulbert (62')
Form Guide
