Blackpool head into the second leg of their League One playoff semi-final with Oxford United already on the brink of reaching the final later this month.
The Tangerines recorded a 3-0 victory in Tuesday's first leg, leaving their opponents requiring a near-miracle to remain competitive at Bloomfield Road.
Match preview
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Ahead of a tie between two teams in form, many people were expecting small margins to decide which of Blackpool or Oxford would earn a place at Wembley Stadium.
However, the former made a mockery of the pre-match predictions on Tuesday night, emerging as 3-0 victors after a ruthless performance at the Kassam Stadium.
While Ellis Simms's double stood out, Neil Critchley refused to single anyone out after their fifth successive triumph in the third tier.
Blackpool have also gone 487 minutes of football without conceding a goal, the most important statistic ahead of looking to avoid shipping three strikes on Friday night.
Simms, who is on loan from Everton, has now contributed 10 goals from 23 appearances since departing Goodison Park on a temporary basis at the start of 2021.
From Oxford's perspective, Karl Robinson knows that his team have it all to do if they want to avoid a second year of disappointment in the playoffs.
Having created the same amount of chances as Blackpool, the U's boss felt that his side were undeserving of such a demoralising setback in front of their returning supporters.
Nevertheless, Robinson also spoke about the benefit of being "fearless" ahead of the trip to the North-West as they bid to pull off an unlikely comeback.
Oxford scored 24 goals during their final seven games of the regular season, a return which will ensure that Blackpool do not take them lightly at Bloomfield Road.
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Team News
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While Critchley is hopeful that Luke Garbutt will shake off a minor back injury, it remains to be seen whether the Blackpool boss will be prepared to take any risks on the left-back.
If the former Everton man misses out, Jordan Thorniley will be used in central defence, with James Husband switching to full-back.
Sullay Kaikai may return to the squad after missing the first leg because of a hamstring injury.
Despite speaking positively about his team's performance on Tuesday, Robinson is expected to make at least one alteration to his starting lineup.
Olamide Shodipo appears most likely to be recalled in a wide position at the expense of either Elliot Lee or Brandon Barker.
Blackpool possible starting lineup:
Maxwell; Turton, Ballard, Thorniley, Husband; Embleton, Stewart, Dougall; Yates, Simms, Anderson
Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Stevens; Hanson, Moore, Atkinson, Ruffels; Henry, Brannagan, Sykes; Lee, Taylor, Shodipo
We say: Blackpool 1-1 Oxford United
Critchley will stress to his side that they can ill-afford to be too negative against opponents which now have nothing to lose.
Nevertheless, we do not expect the most thrilling of second legs, the home team securing their place at Wembley with minimal fuss.
Top tip
Darren Plant
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
