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Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Apr 27, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Inter logo

Bologna
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Arnautovic (28'), Sansone (81')
Arnautovic (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perisic (3')
Inzaghi (31'), Barella (56'), Dumfries (70'), Calhanoglu (79')

Preview: Bologna vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Since this article was published, this game has been called off due to a COVID-19 outbreak in the Bologna squad. A new date for the game will be confirmed in due course.

Scudetto holders and Serie A leaders Inter Milan seek to start the new year in the same manner 2021 ended, as they aim to extend a seven-match winning streak at Bologna on Thursday.

Crowned 'Winter Champions' just before the mid-season break, the Nerazzurri have been relentless since their last league loss back in October, so will make formidable opponents for an inconsistent home side.


Match preview

Inter Milan coach Simone Inzaghi on December 7, 2021© Reuters

After a 1-1 draw in the Derby della Madonnina back in November, each Serie A outing since has ended in victory for Inter, who concluded a special year for the club by winning their last six league matches without conceding even a single goal.

That scintillating streak took Simone Inzaghi's side from seven points shy of top spot to four points clear at the summit, as their purple patch coincided with the faltering form of title rivals Napoli and Milan.

Inzaghi inherited the bulk of a squad that had just secured the club's first title for a decade, and the first half of the current campaign suggests he has even managed to improve on Antonio Conte's impressive blueprint.

Indeed, during the past 12 months, Inter became the first team to have netted more than 100 Serie A goals in a calendar year since 1950 and won a total of 19 home league games in 2021 as a whole - testament to both coaches' efforts in a demanding job.

Following a brief pause over the festive period, the champions now resume with a series of six matches in sixteen days, starting with Thursday's return to Serie A duty, and the Supercoppa Italiana against Juventus is scheduled for next week at San Siro.

Assuming they take care of business at Bologna, Inzaghi will also lead his team out against Atalanta, his old club Lazio and city rivals Milan over the course of the next month, so this could prove to be a crucial phase in their Scudetto defence.

Bologna's Musa Barrow celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Not only will Inter arrive at Dall'Ara in prime form, the home side have also failed to beat them in each and every one of their last 15 encounters there - losing on no less than 12 of those occasions.

Draws have been few and far between, too - the clubs have not shared the points since 2017 - and inconsistent Bologna have also become a 'win or bust' proposition in Serie A.

The Rossoblu had not drawn in 11 league games - winning five and losing six - before the curtain came down on the first half of the season, which at least leaves them enjoying mid-table respectability.

Sitting 10th at the turn of the year, Sinisa Mihajlovic's men closed out 2021 by bouncing back from successive defeats to Fiorentina, Torino and Juventus with victory in the Emilian derby against Sassuolo.

The 3-0 scoreline that day featured a stunning strike by Scottish full-back Aaron Hickey, one of the success stories of Bologna's campaign, along with top scorer Marko Arnautovic, who has fared well since returning to Italy in the summer.

Both will need to be on top form this week, though, if their side is to fare better than in a 6-1 thrashing by Inter back in September, when they were simply swept aside at San Siro.

Bologna Serie A form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Inter Milan Serie A form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Inter Milan form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Inter Milan forward Edin Dzeko pictured on November 24, 2021© Reuters

On Inter's return to action, they will have to make an enforced change to their preferred front pair, as the latest wave of the pandemic has seen the champions lose Edin Dzeko to isolation with COVID-19. In addition, reserve goalkeeper Alex Cordaz and youngster Martin Satriano will be unavailable to Simone Inzaghi as they have also contracted the virus.

Therefore, a straight fight between Joaquin Correa and Alexis Sanchez will take place to form an all-South American front two with 11-goal top scorer Lautaro Martinez, while the suspension of Hakan Calhanoglu will necessitate a switch in midfield.

Stefano Sensi, Roberto Gagliardini, Arturo Vidal and Matias Vecino - who continues to be linked with a move away from San Siro - will contest one vacant spot in the midfield three.

Bologna, meanwhile, have also been afflicted by COVID-19, as teenage goalkeeper Marco Molla joins Nicolas Viola, Aaron Hickey and Nicolas Dominguez in quarantine this week.

Along with Viola and Dominguez, Jerdy Schouten will be missing from the hosts' midfield, as has postponed his return to Emilia-Romagna after the break: the Dutchman's season has been decimated by a problem with hip inflammation and a date for his comeback remains uncertain. Former Inter man Gary Medel may therefore be shifted forward from his defensive role to make up the numbers.

More often a winger, Riccardo Orsolini had started to thrive when pressed into service as a second striker just before Christmas, so Musa Barrow's departure to the Africa Cup of Nations should offer the Italy international another chance to join Marko Arnautovic at the apex of Sinisa Mihajlovic's attack.

Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Soumaoro, Bonifazi, Theate; De Silvestri, Svanberg, Medel, Dijks; Soriano; Orsolini, Arnautovic

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; Skriniar, De Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Vidal, Perisic; Sanchez, Martinez


SM words green background

We say: Bologna 1-3 Inter Milan

Unbeaten in their last 11 league fixtures ahead of the game, the visitors can continue their positive momentum on Thursday lunchtime, as they visit one of their favourite sides to meet.

Recent dominance over Bologna - and an enviable record away from home - certainly points to free-scoring Inter claiming another victory to start 2022 in familiar style.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Bologna win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bologna vs Inter Milan

Bologna
12.4%
Draw
10.0%
Inter Milan
77.7%
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Inter Milan's Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring against AC Milan in Serie A on February 21, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
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20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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